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    The epidemiological situation of malaria in the country as per reports received upto 25^th December 1999, have shown a decrease by 4.68 per cent in total malaria cases, as compared to the corresponding period of 1998.

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    A cabinet note will be moved by the Department of Family Welfare, Ministry of Health and Family Welfare for further consideration of the two child norm by the Cabinet.

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    A Sub-Committee has been constituted by the Union Minister of State for Health and Family Welfare Shri N.T.Shanmugam to look into the service conditions of the Research Scientists/ scholars who are involved in bio-medical research over few years in the All India Institute of Medical Sciences, New Delhi. The Minister has constituted this Sub-Committee in the capacity of President of the AIIMS.

    The Central Statistical Organisation (CSO), Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation, has released the advance estimates of national income at constant (1993-94) prices, for the financial year 1999-2000. The CSO has released, for the first time, these advance estimates also at current prices.

2. These advance estimates are based on anticipated level of agricultural and industrial production, analysis of budget estimates of government expenditure and performance of key sectors like, railways, transport other than railways, communication, banking and insurance, available so far. The advance estimates at current prices are derived by estimating the implicit price deflators (IPDs) at sectoral level, through a regression model developed between the IPDs and the relevant price indices. The salient features of these estimates are detailed below:

3. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) at factor cost at constant (1993-94) prices in the year 1999-2000 is likely to attain a level of Rs. 11,45,436 crore, as against the Quick Estimates of GDP for the year 1998-99 of Rs. 10,81,834 crore, released on 28^th January, 2000. The growth in GDP during 1999-2000 is estimated at 5.9 per cent as compared to the growth rate of 6.8 per cent during 1998-99.

4. The growth rate of 5.9 per cent in GDP during 1999-2000, has mainly been due to the growth rates of over 5 per cent in the sectors, "manufacturing", "electricity, gas & water supply", "construction", "trade, hotels, transport and communication", "financing, insurance, real estate & business services", and "community, social & personal services".

5. According to the information furnished by the Department of Agriculture & Cooperation (DAC), the production of rice, sugarcane and jute & mesta are expected to register growth rates of 1.7 per cent, 6.6 per cent and 9.4 per cent, respectively, during 1999-2000, as compared to the previous year’s respective growth rates of 4.2 per cent, 5.8 per cent, and (–)12.1 per cent. However, the crops wheat, coarse cereals, pulses, oilseeds and cotton are anticipated to show negative growth rates of 2.9 per cent , 7.1 per cent , 8.1 per cent , 14.2 per cent and 0.4 per cent, respectively in their production during 1999-2000, as compared to their respective positive growth rates of 6.7 per cent, 3.5 per cent, 14.1 per cent, 18.2 per cent and 12.3 per cent, during the previous year.

6. According to the latest estimates available on the Index of Industrial Production (IIP), the index of mining registered nil growth rate, manufacturing, 7.0 per cent growth rate and electricity, 7.9 per cent growth rate during the period April-November 1999, as compared to the growth rates of (-)0.7 per cent, 3.8 per cent and 6.3 per cent, respectively in these sectors during the corresponding period of last year. Based on the past trends, the GDP for mining, manufacturing and electricity during 1999-2000 is expected to show growth rates of 0.7 per cent, 7.2 per cent and 7.6 per cent, respectively. The construction sector is expected to show a growth rate of 9.0 per cent during 1999-2000, as compared to the previous year’s growth rate of 5.7 per cent, mainly on account of higher growth in production of cement (15.9 per cent) and steel (11.6 per cent), during April-December, 1999-2000, over the corresponding period in 1998-99.

7. The estimated growth in GDP for the trade, transport and communication sectors during 1999-2000 is placed at 5.9 per cent, as compared to the previous year’s growth rate of 8.1 per cent. The decrease in the growth rate is mainly on account of decrease in the GDP of trade sector, which is estimated on the basis of volume of goods transacted. The sector, financing, insurance, real estate & business services, is expected to show an increase in growth rate to 10.5 per cent during 1999-2000, as compared to the previous year’s growth rate of 6.1 per cent, mainly due to lower inflation rates in terms of wholesale price index (WPI) in 1999-2000. The anticipated marginal decline in the growth rate in community, social and personal services sector is mainly due to higher wages (arrears) drawn by government employees during 1998-99.

8. The net national product (NNP) at factor cost, also known as national income, at 1993-94 prices is likely to be Rs. 10,06,005 crore, during 1999-2000, as against the previous year’s Quick Estimate of Rs. 9,49,525 Crore. In terms of growth rates, the national income is expected to rise by 5.9 per cent during 1999-2000 in comparison to the growth rate of 6.8 per cent in 1998-99.

9. The per capita income in real terms (at 1993-94 prices) during 1999-2000 is likely to attain a level of Rs. 10151 as compared to the Quick Estimates for the year 1998-99 of Rs. 9739. The growth rate in per capita income is estimated at 4.2 per cent during 1999-2000, as against the previous year’s estimate of 5.0 per cent.

10. GDP at factor cost at current prices in the year 1999-2000 is likely to attain a level of Rs. 17,66,589 Crore, showing a growth rate of 9.6 per cent over the Quick Estimates of GDP for the year 1998-99 of Rs. 16,12,383 Crore.

11. The NNP at factor cost at current prices is anticipated to be Rs. 15,69,868 Crore, during 1999-2000, as compared to Rs. 14,31,527 Crore during 1998-99, showing a rise of 9.7 per cent.

12. The per capita income at current prices during 1999-2000 is estimated to be Rs. 15841, as compared to Rs.14682 during 1998-99, showing rise of 7.9 per cent.

13. Estimates of gross/net national product, gross/net domestic product and per capita income alongwith GDP at factor cost by kind of economic activity for the years 1998-99 and 1999-2000 at constant (1993-94) and current prices are given in Statements 1 to 4.

Note: The figures in parentheses show the percentage change over previous year.

Note: The figures in parentheses show the percentage change over previous year.